Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 6.359407 7.014874 7.740801 8.610524 9.632432 10.805449 12.269089
2024-10-13 5.168638 5.993280 6.979222 8.266723 9.937797 12.084745 15.143123
2024-10-20 4.465585 5.340047 6.437245 7.953734 10.062580 13.005931 17.661774
2024-10-27 4.015345 4.913895 6.083523 7.773869 10.260466 13.985167 20.463411
2024-11-03 3.704928 4.622139 5.853638 7.703415 10.564577 15.140993 23.877966
2024-11-10 3.608352 4.598863 5.975888 8.138254 11.688590 17.849134 31.153206
2024-11-17 3.449025 4.468585 5.924884 8.294138 12.379733 19.982524 38.373490
2024-11-24 3.232946 4.236797 5.698172 8.136643 12.495519 21.049144 43.721297
2024-12-01 3.069195 4.067132 5.547175 8.079696 12.774822 22.514631 51.079833
2024-12-08 2.896350 3.871024 5.337527 7.896878 12.782095 23.390236 57.362473
2024-12-15 2.773298 3.741059 5.220197 7.858435 13.061902 24.974058 67.454343
2024-12-22 2.668642 3.631905 5.126564 7.849645 13.397902 26.804715 80.572959
2024-12-29 2.602880 3.587503 5.148853 8.082988 14.359017 30.854091 111.663387
2025-01-05 2.443927 3.388581 4.902071 7.788998 14.113245 31.461875 126.481639
2025-01-12 2.301407 3.207542 4.672416 7.503456 13.838441 31.907308 142.185045
2025-01-19 2.192105 3.073479 4.513195 7.338427 13.821049 33.204249 169.380308
2025-01-26 2.108375 2.976020 4.410063 7.273710 14.038657 35.439507 216.286824
2025-02-02 2.101628 3.003657 4.527555 7.672814 15.534676 43.430403 412.981911
2025-02-09 2.057209 2.965558 4.523708 7.815676 16.389216 49.623068 737.712070
2025-02-16 1.977143 2.862983 4.394740 7.671338 16.396415 51.941990 1055.957493
2025-02-23 1.914734 2.787467 4.311046 7.619119 16.669711 55.923182 1858.029407
2025-03-02 1.841902 2.690757 4.181901 7.451383 16.558751 57.788400 2955.192114
2025-03-09 1.790011 2.627973 4.113193 7.416092 16.862130 62.484170 8002.533141